Broncos vs Chiefs SNF Betting Trends

Photo: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

(Line: -9.5, O/U 47)

Denver Broncos BETPREP TRENDS

Among the relevant trends here, the Broncos are 30-28-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That's minus-$80 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Denver posted decent ATS marks when playing on the road (16-13, $170) and serving as the betting underdog (22-16, $440). The ATS numbers for 2021 are more pedestrian, with the Cowboys going 6-5 overall ($50), 3-2 on the road ($80), and 3-4 versus AFC teams (minus-$140). For the season, Denver has the league's No. 3 scoring defense, allowing 17.8 points per game. On offense, the Broncos rank 14th in rushing offense (114.7 yards per week), 20th in total offense (338.5 yards per game), 21st in passing offense (223.7 yards per week), and 21st in scoring offense (20.7 points per game).

Kansas City Chiefs BETPREP TRENDS

Factoring in recent trends, the Chiefs are 31-27-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That's $130 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Kansas City enjoyed robust ATS results when playing teams with winning records (17-14-1, $160) and taking on AFC competition (24-18, $420). The ATS numbers for 2021 are rather porous, at 4-7 overall (minus-$370), 1-5 at home (minus-$450), and 1-5 versus AFC foes (minus-$450). Also, Kansas City has a 9-0 ATS record against Denver ($900), when tracking the last nine times the Chiefs passed for less than 350 yards the previous game. On the flip side, the Chiefs are 3-16 ATS versus AFC West squads (minus-$1460), when chronicling the last 19 times Kansas City had a home winning streak of three or more games. Entering Week 13, the Chiefs offense ranks second in total offense (402.4 yards per week), third in passing offense (290.5 yards per game), ninth in scoring offense (25.5 points per week), and 18th in rushing offense (111.9 yards per week). On defense, Kansas City ranks 13th in scoring defense, at 22.7 points per game.

Total Trends

The Broncos have eclipsed the Over just 17 times in their last 43 games dating back to 2019 (minus-$1160). The Chiefs have been more productive during the same timeline of regular-season action, going 21-21-1 with the Over (minus-$210). All combined, that's a 38-47-1 track record with the Over (minus-$1370) or, if betting the Under, $520. In 2021, Denver and Kansas City are 2-9 and 5-5-1 with the Over for a combined 7-14-1 (minus-$840). Citing other trends, the Broncos are 10-0 with the Under ($1000) when charting the team's last 10 times of posting a higher seasonal scoring differential than their opponent ... by less than five points. Conversely, Denver has an 0-4-3 record with the Under against Kansas City (minus-$440), when chronicling the last seven times the Chiefs ran for 100 yards the previous week.

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